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국제학술지

공지 (2026. 6. 1.)

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Different characteristics of cold day and cold surge frequency over East Asia in a global warming situation

Abstract: This study investigates the changes in winter cold extreme events over East Asia in the present and future climates. Two distinct terms to indicate cold extreme events are analyzed: “cold day,” which describes a temperature below a certain threshold value (e.g., simply cold weather), and “cold surge,” which describes an abrupt temperature drop (e.g., relatively colder weather than a previous day). We analyze both observations and long-term climate simulations from 13 atmospheric and oceanic coupled global climate models (CGCMs). The geographical distribution of sea level pressure corresponding to a cold day (cold surge) is represented by a dipole (wave train) feature. Although cold day and cold surge show similar patterns of surface air temperature, they are induced by the out-of-phase sea level pressures. From the results of our analysis of a series of future projections for the mid and late twenty-first century using the 13 CGCMs, cold day occurrences clearly decrease with an increasing mean temperature (a correlation coefficient of −0.49), but the correlation between cold surge occurrences and the mean temperature is insignificant (a correlation coefficient of 0.08), which is supported by the same results in recent observation periods (1980–2006). Thus, it is anticipated that cold surge occurrences will remain frequent even in future warmer climate. This deduction is based on the future projections in which the change in the day-to-day temperature variability is insignificant, although the mean temperature shows significant increase. The present results suggest that living things in the future, having acclimatized to a warmer climate, would suffer the strong impact of cold surges, and hence the issue of vulnerability to cold surges should be treated seriously in the future.
- 작성자Park et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수235
- 2011
Diurnal circulations and their multi-scale interaction leading to rainfall over the SCS upstream of the Philippines...

Abstract: The morning diurnal precipitation maximum over the coastal sea upstream of the Philippines during intraseasonal westerly wind bursts is examined from observations and numerical model simulations. A well-defined case of precipitation and large-scale circulation over the coastal sea west of the Philippines during 17–27 June 2004 is selected as a representative case. The hypothesis is that the mesoscale diurnal circulation over the Philippines and a large-scale diurnal circulation that is induced by large-scale differential heating over Asian continent and the surrounding ocean interact to produce the offshore precipitation maximum during the morning. Three-hourly combined satellite microwave and infrared rainfall retrievals define the morning rainfall peak during this period, and then later the stratiform rain area extends toward the open sea. A control numerical simulation in which a grid-nudging four-dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) is applied to force the large-scale diurnal circulation represents reasonably well the morning rainfall maximum. An enhanced low-level convergence similar to observations is simulated due to the interaction of the local- and large-scale diurnal circulations. The essential role of the local-scale diurnal circulation is illustrated in a sensitivity test in which the solar zenith angle is fixed at 7 am to suppress this diurnal circulation. The implication for climate diagnosis or modeling of such upstream coastal sea precipitation maxima is that the diurnal variations of both the local- and the large-scale circulations must be taken into consideration. Full title: Diurnal circulations and their multi-scale interaction leading to rainfall over the South China Sea upstream of the Philippines during intraseasonal monsoon westerly wind bursts
- 작성자Park et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수147
- 2011
High-PM10 concentration episodes in Seoul, Korea: Background sources and related meteorological conditions

Abstract: This study examines the origin of and favorable meteorological conditions for high concentrations of particulate matter with a diameter <10 μm (PM10) in Seoul, Korea, in conjunction with systematic PM10 pathways. High-PM10 episodes, defined as days in which the 24-h mean PM10 exceeds 100 μg m−3, occurred 254 times during the period 2001–2008. Based on back trajectory and clustering analyses, the background sources of the high-PM10 in Seoul are categorized as external (176 episodes) and internal sources (78 episodes). The primary external sources include the industrial areas in inland China and the Gobi desert. The ratio of external to internal sources varies strongly according to the season, with highs in winter and spring and lows in summer. A composite analysis of meteorological factors for high-PM10 episodes with respect to the two sources (i.e., external and internal) suggests that an anomalous high pressure over Korea accompanied by an anomalous low pressure over the source regions favors both upper-level transport from the external source regions and the local accumulation of atmospheric PM10 in Seoul. The origins of high-PM10 episodes and their associated meteorological conditions found in this study can provide theoretical underpinnings for dust control strategies. Highlights: ► We examine the origin and the meteorologies of high-PM10 episodes in Seoul, Korea. ► The episodes by external sources are more frequent than those by internal sources. ► Wind and pressure fields determine both the occurrence and the type of episodes.
- 작성자Lee et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수171
- 2011
Impact of intermittent spectral nudging on regional climate simulation using Weather Research and Forecasting model

Abstract: This study examines simulated typhoon sensitivities to spectral nudging (SN) to investigate the effects on values added by regional climate models, which are not properly resolved by low-resolution global models. SN is suitably modified to mitigate its negative effects while maintaining the positive effects, and the effects of the modified SN are investigated through seasonal simulations. In the sensitivity experiments to nudging intervals of SN, the tracks of simulated typhoons are improved as the SN effect increases; however, the intensities of the simulated typhoons decrease due to the suppression of the typhoon developing process by SN. To avoid such suppression, SN is applied at intermittent intervals only when the deviation between the large-scale driving forcing and the model solution is large. In seasonal simulations, intermittent SN is applied for only 7% of the total time steps; however, this results in not only maintaining the large-scale features of monsoon circulation and precipitation corresponding to observations but also improving the intensification of mesoscale features by reducing the suppression.
- 작성자Cha et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수137
- 2011
Impact of local sea surface temperature anomaly over the western North Pacific on extreme East Asian summer monsoon

Abstract: In this study, the anomalous characteristics of observed large-scale synoptic fields in the extreme East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) years are analyzed, and the impact of the local sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly over the western North Pacific (WNP) on the extreme EASM is investigated through sensitivity experiments of 28 years EASM simulations to the local SST over the WNP. The observation analysis reveals that the extreme EASM is influenced more by anomalous large-scale atmospheric features such as monsoon circulations and the western North Pacific subtropical high than the local SST anomaly over the WNP. However, the results of the sensitivity experiments show that the local SST anomaly has an implicit impact on the extreme EASM. The patterns of differences in precipitation between the experiment forced by observed SST in each year and the experiment forced by climatological SST over the WNP are opposite to anomaly patterns of observed precipitation in the extreme EASM years. This is because the SST anomaly over the WNP plays a role in reducing precipitation anomaly by changing surface latent heat flux and monsoon circulations. In particular, the local SST anomaly over the WNP decreases anomalies of large-scale circulations, i.e., the local Hadley and the Walker circulations. Thus, the local SST anomaly over the WNP plays a role in decreasing the interannual variability of the EASM.
- 작성자Cha et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수164
- 2011
Impact of urban warming on earlier spring flowering in Korea

Abstract: Using long-term (1954–2004) observations of four selected species in South Korea: goldenbell (Forsythia koreana), azalea (Rhododendron mucronulatum), cherry (Prunus yedoensis), and peach (Prunus persica), the impact of urban warming on spring flowering was investigated. Trends of early spring temperatures and first-flowering dates (FFDs) of the four plants were cross-compared among nine differently urbanized cities. It was clearly observed that urban warming has led to an advance in the timing of first-flowering of several days to weeks during recent decades, while the intrinsic physiology of plants to sense thermal energy has not been changed. The degree of advancement of the FFD was observed to be roughly proportional to degree of urbanization. Moreover, the sensitivity of the FFD to urban warming was estimated to be higher for the shrub species (−9.07 and −6.64 days °C−1 for goldenbell and azalea, respectively) than the tree species (−2.46 and −2.90 days °C−1 for peach and cherry, respectively). Our results suggest that the impact of urban warming should be considered as an influential factor which drives changes in the regional natural environment, especially in regions of rapid urbanization.
- 작성자Jeong et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수158
- 2011
Impact of vegetation feedback on the temperature and its diurnal range over the N. Hem. during summer in a 2×CO2 climate

Abstract: This study examines the potential impact of vegetation feedback on the changes in the diurnal temperature range (DTR) due to the doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations during summer over the Northern Hemisphere using a global climate model equipped with a dynamic vegetation model. Results show that CO2 doubling induces significant increases in the daily mean temperature and decreases in DTR regardless of the presence of the vegetation feedback effect. In the presence of vegetation feedback, increase in vegetation productivity related to warm and humid climate lead to (1) an increase in vegetation greenness in the mid-latitude and (2) a greening and the expansion of grasslands and boreal forests into the tundra region in the high latitudes. The greening via vegetation feedback induces contrasting effects on the temperature fields between the mid- and high-latitude regions. In the mid-latitudes, the greening further limits the increase in Tmax more than Tmin, resulting in further decreases in DTR because the greening amplifies evapotranspiration and thus cools daytime temperature. The greening in high-latitudes, however, it reinforces the warming by increasing Tmax more than Tmin to result in a further increase in DTR from the values obtained without vegetation feedback. This effect on Tmax and DTR in the high latitude is mainly attributed to the reduction in surface albedo and the subsequent increase in the absorbed insolation. Present study indicates that vegetation feedback can alter the response of the temperature field to increases in CO2 mainly by affecting the Tmax and that its effect varies with the regional climate characteristics as a function of latitudes. Full title: Impact of vegetation feedback on the temperature and its diurnal range over the Northern Hemisphere during summer in a 2×CO2 climate
- 작성자Jeong et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수136
- 2011
Influence of Arctic Oscillation on dust activity over northeast Asia

Abstract: The northeast Asian dust process during the spring seasons in the years 1982–2006 was simulated by the Integrated Wind Erosion Modeling System (IWEMS). The influence of Arctic Oscillation (AO) on dust activities was investigated by analyzing surface observations and model simulations. There is a significant relationship between AO and dust activity; a positive AO phase is associated with decreased (increased) dust storm frequency in Mongolia (Taklimakan Desert) and enhanced anticyclonic (southeastward) dust transport over northwestern China (North China). The AO-dust relation is mainly due to changes in the westerly jet and geopotential height in the middle troposphere; a positive AO phase induces a northward shift of the polar jet, an intensified westerly jet over northern Tibetan Plateau, and a positive geopotential height anomaly over Mongolia. The northern shift of the polar jet reduces the frequency of intense cyclones in Mongolia, thereby causing a decrease in the dust storm frequency. The intensified westerly jet stream over the northern Tibetan Plateau increases the dust storm frequency in the Taklimakan Desert. The positive geopotential height anomaly over Mongolia initiates an anticyclonic dust transport anomaly in the middle troposphere over northwestern China. It also induces a southeastward dust transport anomaly over North China. The reverse situations are true for a negative AO phase. Research highlights: ► AO shows a negative correlation with dust storm frequency in Mongolia. ► AO has a positive correlation with dust storm frequency in Taklimakan Desert. ► Positive AO phase enhances anitcyclonic dust transport over northwestern China. ► Positive AO phase increases southeastward dust transport over North China. ► AO-dust relation is due to changes in westerly jet and geopotential height.
- 작성자Rui et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수196
- 2011
Pattern classification of typhoon tracks using the fuzzy c-means clustering method

Abstract: A fuzzy c-means clustering method (FCM) is applied to cluster tropical cyclone (TC) tracks. FCM is suitable for the data where cluster boundaries are ambiguous, such as a group of TC tracks. This study introduces the feasibility of a straightforward metric to incorporate the entire shapes of all tracks into the FCM, that is, the interpolation of all tracks into equal number of segments. Four validity measures (e.g., partition coefficient, partition index, separation index, and Dunn index) are used objectively to determine the optimum number of clusters. This results in seven clusters from 855 TCs over the western North Pacific (WNP) from June through October during 1965–2006. The seven clusters are characterized by 1) TCs striking the Korean Peninsula and Japan with north-oriented tracks, 2) TCs affecting Japan with long trajectories, 3) TCs hitting Taiwan and eastern China with west-oriented tracks, 4) TCs passing the east of Japan with early recurving tracks, 5) TCs traveling the easternmost region over the WNP, 6) TCs over the South China Sea, and 7) TCs moving straight across the Philippines. Each cluster shows distinctive characteristics in its lifetime, traveling distance, intensity, seasonal variation, landfall region, and distribution of TC-induced rainfall. The roles of large-scale environments (e.g., sea surface temperatures, low-level relative vorticity, and steering flows) on cluster-dependent genesis locations and tracks are also discussed.
- 작성자Kim et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수205
- 2011
Phenology shifts at start vs. end of growing season in temperate vegetation over the N. Hem. for the period 1982–2008

Abstract: Changes in vegetative growing seasons are dominant indicators of the dynamic response of ecosystems to climate change. Therefore, knowledge of growing seasons over the past decades is essential to predict ecosystem changes. In this study, the long-term changes in the growing seasons of temperate vegetation over the Northern Hemisphere were examined by analyzing satellite-measured normalized difference vegetation index and reanalysis temperature during 1982–2008. Results showed that the length of the growing season (LOS) increased over the analysis period; however, the role of changes at the start of the growing season (SOS) and at the end of the growing season (EOS) differed depending on the time period. On a hemispheric scale, SOS advanced by 5.2 days in the early period (1982–1999) but advanced by only 0.2 days in the later period (2000–2008). EOS was delayed by 4.3 days in the early period, and it was further delayed by another 2.3 days in the later period. The difference between SOS and EOS in the later period was due to less warming during the preseason (January–April) before SOS compared with the magnitude of warming in the preseason (June–September) before EOS. At a regional scale, delayed EOS in later periods was shown. In North America, EOS was delayed by 8.1 days in the early period and delayed by another 1.3 days in the later period. In Europe, the delayed EOS by 8.2 days was more significant than the advanced SOS by 3.2 days in the later period. However, in East Asia, the overall increase in LOS during the early period was weakened in the later period. Admitting regional heterogeneity, changes in hemispheric features suggest that the longer-lasting vegetation growth in recent decades can be attributed to extended leaf senescence in autumn rather than earlier spring leaf-out. Full title: Phenology shifts at start versus end of growing season in temperate vegetation over the Northern Hemisphere for the period 1982-2008
- 작성자Jeong et al.
- 작성일2024.07.09
- 조회수149
- 2011